After the financial panic of 1893, in Grover Cleveland’s 1894 midterm, Democrats went from 218 to just 93 of 357 House seats. Between 1892 and 1894, Democrats lost 125 House seats, about 35 percent of the total. Can Obama’s 2010 midterm be comparable? RCP has 111 D seats being contested and 16 R seats being contested in 2010. This means the GOP needs to be looking at 14 to 30 more seats than RCP is looking at. Let me offer up some more D seats that just might not be as safe as the “experts” believe them to be. I have managed to come up with 19 additional seats that are not in my opinion all that safe.
The major problem the candidates are going to have of the 19 that I have listed is having enough money to buy the radio and TV ads they will need to promote their candidacy. This is a special midterm election that is a national referendum instead of all local concerns. We just need to expand our optimism about what is possible. To paraphrase eburke In this election cycle there is no such thing as a quioxtic quest for conservatives. Let’s not wake up on November 3rd and and bemoan a lost oppoprtunity. Let’s man the barricades and help get them over the top.
They all could use a boost; a very good candidate (a real conservative and nice person too) in Arizona lost her primary due to nothing much more than being outspent be her opponent, another independently wealthy candidate.
This isn’t the primary, this is the Big Game. Liberal opponents have the advantage of the union machine to lavish them with money for commercials, ads, etc.
The GOP has pretty much only us, no George Soros, just working folk who want to see our country get better, not slide to oblivion.